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to accurately predict when a hard drive is about to die By Sebastian Anthony on November 12, 2014 at 11:47 am Comment SMART, which first started to appear in consumer hard drives about 10 years ago, is a brilliant concept -- it's
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meant to tell you if a hard drive is about to die -- but
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in practice, I think we can all agree that SMART has always been rather underwhelming. Personally, SMART has never helped ecc error rate fail me catch a failing drive -- and I suspect it's the same for most people who are reading this story.The problem with SMART -- which stands for Self-Monitoring, Analysis and Reporting Technology -- is http://www.computerworld.com/article/2846009/the-5-smart-stats-that-actually-predict-hard-drive-failure.html that it provides a lot of (mostly useless) data, and many of the statistics reported are inconsistent (different definitions, different measurements) between hard drive manufacturers. While you want SMART to simply tell you that a hard drive is about to fail, it does no such thing -- instead, you get to analyse about 50 different variables (which vary from drive to drive), and then try to magically divine whether the drive http://www.extremetech.com/computing/194059-using-smart-to-accurately-predict-when-a-hard-drive-is-about-to-die is healthy or not. While most hard drive makers do provide some kind of SMART monitoring tool, none of them accurately warn you that a drive is about to fail. The sad thing is, SMART does return some useful information -- but because of the inconsistency between drive makers, and because drive makers don't tell us which of the various attributes and variables we should pay attention to, any useful data is drowned out. Now, however, thanks to the infinite-online-backup guys at Backblaze, we may finally have a way of using SMART to predict drive death.SMART 187 (uncorrectable errors) vs. drive failure rateWhich SMART attributes actually matter?For the past year or so, Backblaze has been capturing the SMART data from some 40,000 hard drives. The hard drives are made by all the usual suspects -- Seagate, Western Digital, Hitachi, and HGST. By working backwards from drives that failed, and then looking at their reported SMART data from the preceding weeks and months, Backblaze thinks it has identified five SMART attributes that actually predict drive death. Backblaze is apparently using this data to replace drives before they fail, so it must be fairly confident in its findings.Here are the big five. (For
a large number for Seek error rate attribute (note that I edited the output for readability): Vendor Specific SMART Attributes with Thresholds:ID# ATTRIBUTE_NAME FLAG VAL WOR THR TYPE UPDATED WHEN_FAILED RAW_VALUE http://sgros.blogspot.com/2013/01/seagate-disk-smart-values.html 1 Raw_Read_Error_Rate 0x000f 100 253 006 Pre-fail Always - https://help.smart.com.ph/article/prepaid-i-can-t-make-a-call 0 3 Spin_Up_Time 0x0003 098 098 000 Pre-fail Always - 0 4 Start_Stop_Count 0x0032 100 100 020 Old_age Always - 826 5 Reallocated_Sector_Ct 0x0033 100 100 036 Pre-fail Always - 0 7 Seek_Error_Rate error rate 0x000f 072 060 030 Pre-fail Always - 17262017054 9 Power_On_Hours 0x0032 087 087 000 Old_age Always - 1153810 Spin_Retry_Count 0x0013 100 100 034 Pre-fail Always - 012 Power_Cycle_Count 0x0032 100 100 020 Old_age Always - 838187 Reported_Uncorrect 0x0032 100 100 000 Old_age Always - read error rate 0189 High_Fly_Writes 0x003a 100 100 000 Old_age Always - 0190 Airflow_Temperature_Cel 0x0022 067 043 045 Old_age Always In_the_past 33 (0 17 33 31 0)191 G-Sense_Error_Rate 0x0032 100 100 000 Old_age Always - 0192 Power-Off_Retract_Count 0x0032 100 100 000 Old_age Always - 809193 Load_Cycle_Count 0x0022 001 001 000 Old_age Always - 351945194 Temperature_Celsius 0x001a 033 057 000 Old_age Always - 33 (0 11 0 0 0)195 Hardware_ECC_Recovere 0x0012 097 044 000 Old_age Always - 196225726197 Current_Pending_Sector 0x0010 100 100 000 Old_age Offline - 0198 Offline_Uncorrectable 0x003e 100 100 000 Old_age Always - 0199 UDMA_CRC_Error_Count 0x0000 200 200 000 Old_age Offline - 1200 Multi_Zone_Error_Rate 0x0032 100 253 000 Old_age Always - 0202 Data_Address_Mark_Errs 0x0000 100 253 000 Old_age Offline - 0254 Free_Fall_Sensor 0x0000 100 253 000 Old_age Offline - 0 It's not the first time I saw such a large raw values which, while not problematic (VAL/WOR/THR should be actually monitored) are nevertheless interestin
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