Election Error
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(March 2008) (Learn how and when to remove this template message) The Volusia error is an example of the problems with electronic voting from the 2000 US Presidential election. Contents 1 The error 2 The call 3 literary digest poll Correction 4 References The error[edit] Late in the night on November 7, 2000 the US
Why The 1936 Literary Digest Poll Failed Summary
election had come down to a tight race over Florida and its 25 electoral votes. Both Al Gore and George W. margin of error in polls Bush were within 25 electoral votes of the necessary count to win the presidency, so the entire race boiled down to the contest in Florida. In Volusia County, Florida a strange error was discovered upon reviewing george gallup the electronic voting results. As Dana Milbank of the Washington Post put it: "Something very strange happened on election night to Deborah Tannenbaum, a Democratic Party official in Volusia County. At 10 p.m., she called the county elections department and learned that Al Gore was leading George W. Bush 83,000 votes to 62,000. But when she checked the county's Web site for an update half an hour later, she found a
Margin Of Error Formula
startling development: Gore's count had dropped by 16,000 votes, while an obscure Socialist candidate had picked up 10,000--all because of a single precinct with only 600 voters." [1] The error cropped up in Volusia's 216th precinct of only 585 registered voters. A Global Election Systems (acquired by Diebold Election Systems now Premier Election Solutions) voting machine showed that 412 of those registered voters had voted. The problem was that the machine also claimed those 412 voters had somehow given Bush 2,813 votes and in addition had given Gore a negative vote count of -16,022 votes (Green Party candidate Ralph Nader was shown to have an even larger negative vote, though he was not considered a likely winner of the whole Florida election).[2][citation needed] The call[edit] Most major television news networks had originally called Florida for Gore (before the polls closed in Florida), but retracted the call around 10 p.m. EST. Fox News was the first to lead the charge the other way, acting on data that included this impossible Volusia County 216th precinct data, completely altering the close race with a sudden 18,000+ vote margin opening up for Bush over Gore. Fox News called Florida for Bush at 2:16 a.m. on November 8, with other networks following in the next few minutes. Th
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Dewey Defeats Truman
How A Bank Error Led to the Throwing Out of an ElectionCiara Torres-SpelliscyOctober 4, 2016 The views expressed are the author's own and not necessarily those of the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volusia_error Brennan Center for Justice. Not to make you nervous, but on September 15 the Florida Supreme Court threw out an election and ordered a new one. The ruling raises a set of interesting questions, such as under what circumstances courts can throw out election results, especially in light of the fact that the U.S. Supreme Court is https://www.brennancenter.org/blog/how-bank-error-led-throwing-out-election currently split 4-4 and the pending presidential race. The Florida Supreme Court case was called Wright v. City of Miami Gardens. James Barry Wright had a compelling case. He was a candidate for Mayor of Miami Gardens when he was told that the check he used to pay his candidate filing fee was returned by the bank. Although Wright had ample funds to cover the fee, the bank didn’t cash the check because they could not find the account number listed. Yet other checks written on the same account had cleared. It was a bank error. But that didn’t matter. Wright was struck from the ballot because of the check. And so he sued to get his name back on the ballot. Meanwhile, the election happened without him. Wright appealed all the way to the Florida Supreme Court, who agreed that he should not have been removed from the ballot. Among the reasoning for granting relief, the Florida Supreme Court returned to first principals like: “Our Florida Constitution
and economic issues such as unemployment and government spending were the dominant themes of the campaign. The Literary Digest was one of the https://www.math.upenn.edu/~deturck/m170/wk4/lecture/case1.html most respected magazines of the time and had a history of accurately http://electionlawblog.org/?p=87136 predicting the winners of presidential elections that dated back to 1916. For the 1936 election, the Literary Digest prediction was that Landon would get 57% of the vote against Roosevelt's 43% (these are the statistics that the poll measured). The actual results of the election were 62% for margin of Roosevelt against 38% for Landon (these were the parameters the poll was trying to measure). The sampling error in the Literary Digest poll was a whopping 19%, the largest ever in a major public opinion poll. Practically all of the sampling error was the result of sample bias. The irony of the situation was that the Literary Digest poll was margin of error also one of the largest and most expensive polls ever conducted, with a sample size of around 2.4 million people! At the same time the Literary Digest was making its fateful mistake, George Gallup was able to predict a victory for Roosevelt using a much smaller sample of about 50,000 people. This illustrates the fact that bad sampling methods cannot be cured by increasing the size of the sample, which in fact just compounds the mistakes. The critical issue in sampling is not sample size but how best to reduce sample bias. There are many different ways that bias can creep into the sample selection process. Two of the most common occurred in the case of the Literary Digest poll. The Literary Digest's method for choosing its sample was as follows: Based on every telephone directory in the United States, lists of magazine subscribers, rosters of clubs and associations, and other sources, a mailing list of about 10 million names was created. Every name on this lest was mailed a mock ballot and asked to return the marked b
of an Election" Posted on October 4, 2016 5:06 pm by Rick Hasen Ciara Torres-Spelliscy blogs. This entry was posted in election administration by Rick Hasen. Bookmark the permalink. Post navigation ← "Election Systems Class Action Says Voting Machines Can Be Manipulated" "Democrats sue Florida over vote-by-mail verification" → Comments are closed. Search for: Archives Archives Select Month October 2016 (110) September 2016 (424) August 2016 (552) July 2016 (314) June 2016 (301) May 2016 (387) April 2016 (453) March 2016 (455) February 2016 (428) January 2016 (361) December 2015 (328) November 2015 (326) October 2015 (369) September 2015 (246) August 2015 (414) July 2015 (359) June 2015 (410) May 2015 (366) April 2015 (337) March 2015 (373) February 2015 (268) January 2015 (267) December 2014 (291) November 2014 (426) October 2014 (680) September 2014 (524) August 2014 (402) July 2014 (425) June 2014 (422) May 2014 (378) April 2014 (553) March 2014 (305) February 2014 (317) January 2014 (339) December 2013 (264) November 2013 (299) October 2013 (353) September 2013 (271) August 2013 (361) July 2013 (426) June 2013 (426) May 2013 (478) April 2013 (305) March 2013 (331) February 2013 (360) January 2013 (362) December 2012 (300) November 2012 (675) October 2012 (697) September 2012 (496) August 2012 (549) July 2012 (493) June 2012 (418) May 2012 (456) April 2012 (408) March 2012 (569) February 2012 (612) January 2012 (591) December 2011 (406) November 2011 (373) October 2011 (396) September 2011 (351) August 2011 (395) July 2011 (365) June 2011 (449) May 2011 (276) April 2011 (251) March 2011 (254) February 2011 (204) January 2011 (227) December 2010 (282) November 2010 (414) October 2010 (496) September 2010 (334) August 2010 (255) July 2010 (235) June 2010 (208) May 2010 (228) April 2010 (237) March 2010 (210) February 2010 (183) January 2010 (187) December 2009 (117) November 2009 (153) October 2009 (151) September 2009 (155) August 2009 (149) July 2009 (148) June 2009 (259) May 2009 (201) April 2009 (208) March 2009 (214) February 2009 (185) January 2009 (157) December 2008 (175) November 2008 (359) October 2008 (517) September 2008 (237) August 2008 (142) July 2008 (187) June 2008 (172) May 2008 (222) April 2008 (165) March 2008 (180) February 2008 (206) January 2008 (169) December 2007 (150) November 2007 (192) Octobe