Newspaper Articles With Margin Of Error
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Polls | 2 comments Presidential Polling's Margin for Error by Rebecca Goldin | Oct 14, 2015 | Margin of error, Polls | 2 comments Polls are finding Donald Trump ahead—way ahead—of other candidates running for the Republican nomination for presidency. Based on a recent political polls margin of error Pew Research Center poll, CNN practically declared victory for him, noting he got 25 percent of
What Does Margin Of Error Mean In Polls
the votes in the survey. The Daily News wrote off Jeb Bush—pointing to his 4 percent support rate. Ben Carson came in at 16
Election Polls Margin Of Error
percent; Carly Fiorina and Marco Rubio won 8 percent. Another poll conducted in October by MSNBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist, found Donald Trump has the support of 21 percent of the participating Republicans in New Hampshire– down from 28 percent of http://academicanswers.waldenu.edu/faq/72663 respondents in September. Fiorina comes in second, with 16 percent support, up from 6 percent a month ago. The same organization found 24 percent support for Trump in Iowa in October, down from 29 percent last month. Ben Carson, second in the lead in Iowa in this poll, captures 19 percent of the support, down from 22 percent last month. Yet both polls had fewer than 500 participants, resulting in high margins of error (about 5 percent points). When taking http://www.stats.org/presidential-pollings-margin-for-error/ the margin of error into consideration, the preferences of Republican voters are far from certain. But first, what is a margin of error (MOE)? It doesn’t measure most kinds of errors that plague many polls and surveys, like biased questions or selecting survey respondents in a way that’s not random. MOE does not measure a mistake, either. When a random sample of all Republicans is taken—a small group of people meant to be chosen randomly from all the possible likely Republican voters—there is always a possibility that the opinions of those in this sample don’t reflect those of the whole population. The MOE is a measurement of how confident we can be that such a survey of the opinions of a small number of people actually reflects the opinions of the whole population. Polls like these may have other major problems than simply sampling error. Quite possibly they haven’t accounted correctly for the demographics among the respondents to the polls. If those who respond are poorer, more likely to be white, less likely to be educated, or even less likely to vote, than those who actually vote, the survey will be biased. But assuming all of the issues of who participates in the poll have been adjusted, there’s still sampling error. That’s what the MOE addresses. The MOE on the Pew and the NBC/WSJ/Marist polls have been largely neglected, leaving doubt about how much confidence we can hav
NEWS WorldPost Highline Science Education Weird News Business TestKitchen Tech College Media POLITICS Pollster Election Forecast Eat the Press HuffPost Hill Candidate http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/02/03/margin-of-error-debate_n_6565788.html? Confessional So That Happened ENTERTAINMENT Sports Comedy Celebrity Books Entertainment TV Arts + Culture WELLNESS Healthy Living Travel Style Taste Home Weddings Divorce Sleep GPS for the Soul WHAT'S WORKING Impact Green Good News Global Health VOICES Black Voices Latino Voices Women Fifty Religion Queer Voices Parents Teen College VIDEO ALL SECTIONS margin of Arts + Culture Black Voices Books Business Candidate Confessional Celebrity College Comedy Crime Divorce Dolce Vita Eat the Press Education Election Forecast Entertainment Fifty Good News Green Healthy Living Highline Home Horoscopes HuffPost Data HuffPost Hill Impact Latino Voices Media Outspeak Parents Politics Pollster Queer Voices Religion Science Small Business So That margin of error Happened Sports Style Taste Tech Teen TestKitchen Travel TV Weddings Weird News Women WorldPost FEATURED GPS for the Soul Hawaii Inspiration Generation OWN Dr. Phil Quiet Revolution Talk to Me When To Jump Better Together Don't Stress the Mess Endeavor Generation Now Paving the Way The Power Of Humanity Sleep + Wellness What's Working: Purpose + Profit What's Working: Small Businesses POLITICS The 'Margin Of Error' Is More Controversial Than You Think 02/03/2015 01:47 pm ET | Updated Feb 03, 2015 Mark Blumenthal Mark Blumenthal is the Head of Election Polling at SurveyMonkey. Natalie Jackson Senior Data Scientist, The Huffington Post Justin Lewis via Getty Images If you read polls in the news, you're probably familiar with the term "margin of error." What you may not know is that pollsters disagree fiercely about when it should be used. In an actual debate last week, sponsored by the do-it-yourself sampling firm Peanut Labs, polling exper