Political Margin Of Error
Contents |
Follow us Facebook YouTube Twitter Pinterest NOW Adventure Animals Auto Culture Entertainment Health Home & Garden More Lifestyle Money Science Tech Video Shows Quizzes Lifestyle Money margin of error political definition Science Tech Video Shows Quizzes How Political Polling Works by Dave
Margin Of Error Example
Roos Culture | Elections Margins of Error Prev Next What does it really mean when the news polls with margin of error and sample size anchor says: "The latest polls show Johnson with 51 percent of the vote and Smith with 49 percent, with a 3 percent margin of error"? If there is
Presidential Poll Margin Of Error
a 3 percent margin of error, and Johnson leads Smith by only two percentage points, then isn't the poll useless? Isn't it equally possible that Smith is winning by one point? The margin of error is one of the least understood aspects of political polling. The confusion begins with the name itself. The official name of the margin of error definition statistics margin of error is the margin of sampling error (MOSE). The margin of sampling error is a statistically proven number based on the size of the sample group [source: American Association for Public Opinion Research]. It has nothing to do with the accuracy of the poll itself. The true margin of error of a political poll is impossible to measure, because there are so many different things that could alter the accuracy of a poll: biased questions, poor analysis, simple math mistakes. Up Next 10 Bizarre Moments in Presidential Elections The Ultimate Political Gaffe Quiz 10 Ways the U.S. Has Kept Citizens From Voting The U.S. Presidential Also-Rans Quiz The U.S. Presidential Debates Quiz Instead, the MOSE is a straightforward equation based solely on the size of the sample group (assuming that the total population is 10,000 or greater) [source: AAPOR]. As a rule, the larger the sample group, the smaller the margin of error. For example, a sample size of 100 respondents has a MOSE of +/- 10 perc
WorkSocial MediaSoftwareProgrammingWeb Design & DevelopmentBusinessCareersComputers Online Courses B2B Solutions Shop for Books San Francisco, CA Brr, it´s cold outside Search Submit RELATED ARTICLES How to Interpret the Margin of Error in Statistics http://www.dummies.com/education/math/statistics/how-to-interpret-the-margin-of-error-in-statistics/ Statistics Essentials For Dummies Statistics For Dummies, 2nd Edition SPSS Statistics for Dummies, 3rd Edition Statistics II for Dummies Load more EducationMathStatisticsHow to Interpret the Margin of http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/9/4/1127559/-Why-The-Margin-of-Error-is-Important-in-Understanding-Political-Polls Error in Statistics How to Interpret the Margin of Error in Statistics Related Book Statistics For Dummies, 2nd Edition By Deborah J. Rumsey You've probably heard or seen margin of results like this: "This statistical survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points." What does this mean? Most surveys are based on information collected from a sample of individuals, not the entire population (as a census would be). A certain amount of error is bound to occur -- not in margin of error the sense of calculation error (although there may be some of that, too) but in the sense of sampling error, which is the error that occurs simply because the researchers aren't asking everyone. The margin of error is supposed to measure the maximum amount by which the sample results are expected to differ from those of the actual population. Because the results of most survey questions can be reported in terms of percentages, the margin of error most often appears as a percentage, as well. How do you interpret a margin of error? Suppose you know that 51% of people sampled say that they plan to vote for Ms. Calculation in the upcoming election. Now, projecting these results to the whole voting population, you would have to add and subtract the margin of error and give a range of possible results in order to have sufficient confidence that you're bridging the gap between your sample and the population. Supposing a margin of
Politics · Media · BarackObama · Senate · Democrats · EarlyVoting · rescued · Wikileaks · Voting · OpenThread · Florida · Culture · SexualAssault · GOP · Russia · Congress · Pennsylvania · Polls Sign up Log in 0 Messages New Blog Entry Drafts View/Edit My Profile Image Library My Groups My Stories My Activity Stream My Comments Subscribe to hide ads Show Ads Hide Ads Log out Blog It! Help Join the mailing list News Front Page Elections Labor Comics Daily Kos Liberation League Radio More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » Community Recommended Most Shared Recent Stories Community Spotlight GROUPS Readers and Book Lovers Science Matters ClassWarfare Newsletter More... More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » More Stories » Action Endorsements 2016 Check out our slate of Daily Kos-endorsed candidates See All Sign the pledge: I will Get Out The Vote to defeat Trump Donald Trump is the Republican nominee, which is frightening.We must make sure his hateful rhetoric does not even come close... Sign the petition to Republicans: Trump's comments on Khan family are repugnant. Drop your support for him. Donald Trump has gone too far with his attacks on Gold Star parents Khizr and Ghazala Khan, whose son Army Capt. Humayun Khan... Sign if you agree with the President: Donald Trump is unfit for the office A Donald Trump White House would be a disaster, and this goes way beyond any ideological difference. As President Obama said,... See All 7 Campaigns » cc Blog Stream Groups Following Profile Why The Margin of Error is Important in Understanding Political Polls By cc Tuesday Sep 04, 2012 · 8:07 AM PDT 2012/09/04 · 08:07 75 Comments Share this article 9 9 9 Add to Blog RSS Update Edit Administration Un-Rescue Rescue REBLOGGED BY TAGS BarackObama Election 2012 marginoferror Mitt Romney politicalpolls President Obama Election2012 MittRomney ImportanceofunderstandingMarginofError Edit Tags Tag History × Tag History BarackObama Election 2012 marginoferror Mitt Romney politicalpolls President Obama ImportanceofunderstandingMarginofError created by a